Thursday, March 23, 2017

Trump demands a vote to repeal Obamacare happen tomorrow, but he doesn't have the votes

Did anybody notice that after Paul Ryan pulled his repeal bill from the floor today, Trump delivered prepared remarks at a truck industry event promising it would still pass today? I'd call that bad staff work, but his top staff -- his son-in-law Jared Kushner -- is in Aspen this week. So I guess Trump's on his own.

It shows, because Trump is now demanding a vote on a bill tomorrow, a bill that doesn't have the votes to pass. Here's how Matt Fuller and I put it today: Trump's vaunted dealmaking skills have failed him so far: he didn't pick up any new support by offering to eliminate Essential Health Benefits from the bill, but instead lost a wave of moderates and made the measure more politically toxic than it had been.

I broke down these dynamics in a live report for TYT this afternoon, but for the very latest, just follow Fuller on twitter, if you're not already.

Tomorrow will be a major test of whether the rules of Washington apply to Trump, or whether he can overcome them the way he broke all the rules of campaigning. The difference here is that all of these members of Congress report only to their own constituents, and a majority of them have decided that the smart thing for them to do is vote against Donald Trump, and they don't think there's anything Trump can do about it. It's awfully early in his term for him to suffer this grand a defeat. Maybe they talk sense in to him at the last minute and they pull this bill. Either way, tomorrow is going to something to watch.

(I asked some of the moderates what role constituent pressure played in their decision to oppose this bill, and they said that it was significant. So the resistance is working.)

Here's Sam Stein's report on the latest ultimatum by Trump.



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