Wednesday, March 22, 2017

A list of the wavering ACA repeal votes -- and the saga of tanks at the inauguration

Around the time of the inauguration, we reported -- and by we I mean Jessica Schulberg -- that Trump had requested things like tanks, missile launchers and other military equipment for a North-Korea-style parade at his inauguration. The White House told us off the record at the time that no such request had been made, but we ran the story anyway, because it was true.

Now Schulberg has obtained emails through a freedom of information act request that prove the story was true and they were lying. The military ultimately rebuffed the request. (Here in the U.S., we prefer our military spectacles to be classy affairs involving jet fighters flying over football games, I suppose, not tanks rolling down Pennsylvania Avenue, which could tear up the bike lanes.)

We're now about 24 hours from the vote to repeal Obamacare and replace it with Trumpcare. If it were held now, it would go down in flames, according to our vote count, so Trump has his work cut out for him. Those who want to see it burn also have work to do, as there are a number of members who may vote no but who have not said so publicly. A few readers asked yesterday that I provide a list,and here it is, courtesy mostly of Matt Fuller, who you should be following on twitter if you're not already. (Or, for your sanity, you should not be using twitter at all, probably.)

I went over that list, and where people stand, for TYT yesterday afternoon, a report you can watch here.

Bear in mind that Republicans can lose only 21 votes. Lose 22 and it goes down.

Members extremely likely to be against (28): Justin Amash (R-Mich.), Rod Blum (R-Iowa), Dave Brat (R-Va.), Mo Brooks (R-Ala.), Ken Buck (R-Colo.), Ted Budd (R-N.C.), Warren Davidson (R-Ohio), Scott DesJarlais (R-Tenn.), Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.), Jeff Duncan (R-S.C.), Tom Garrett (R-Va.), Louie Gohmert (R-Texas), Paul Gosar (R-Ariz.), Andy Harris (R-Md.), Jody Hice (R-Ga.), Mike Johnson (R-La.), Walter Jones (R-N.C.), Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), Steve King (R-Iowa), Raul Labrador (R-Idaho), Leonard Lance (R-N.J.), Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), Scott Perry (R-Pa.), Bill Posey (R-Fla.), Mark Sanford (R-S.C.), Randy Weber (R-Texas), Ted Yoho (R-Fla.).

Members leaning against (10): Mark Amodei (R-Nev.), Lou Barletta (R-Pa.), Rick Crawford (R-Ark.), Dan Donovan (R-N.Y.), Trent Franks (R-Ariz.), Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fla.), John Katko (R-N.Y.), , Rob Wittman (R-Va.), Daniel Webster (R-Fla.).

Undecided members (8): Brian Babin (R-Texas), Joe Barton (R-Texas), Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.), Jim Bridenstine (R-Okla.), Ryan Costello (R-Pa.), Charlie Dent (R-Pa.), Alex Mooney (R-W.Va.), Steve Pearce (R-N.M.).


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